10/31/08-TWD's Agenda For The Day, Part 2: McCain Losing Georgia, North Dakota, and Arizona?! It Could Seriously Happen.

(Original Image from mchenrycountyblog.com)

From Mr.Moulitsas today:

Arizona Polling:

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 10/28-30. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)

McCain (R) 48
Obama (D) 47

Early voters (17 percent of sample)

McCain (R) 42
Obama (D) 54

It is so bad for the Arizona Senator that he has to do this.

McCain forced to campaign in Arizona on Monday. I bet he wishes he could spend the evening in Pennsylvania, Ohio, or Florida.

Not on that, but spending time in your own state the day before the last date of voting. Geez Louise.

The home state is already the straw showing how terrible McCain's chances are at this point. But factors in Georgia and North Dakota, traditional and usual Republican, Red State strongholds, also indicate ominous signs for the POW.

Georgia
McCain (R) 47 (49)
Obama (D) 44 (43)

Already voted

McCain (R) 40
Obama (D) 55

North Dakota
McCain (R) 47 (45)
Obama (D) 46 (45)

This has emboldened Obama to do this (link via Kos):

Obama's campaign, capitalizing on his vast financial resources and a favorable political climate, announced that it was going back up with advertising in Georgia and North Dakota, two GOP states that it had teased with ads earlier in the general election campaign but then abandoned.

In what could be a final ignominy for McCain, Obama campaign manager David Plouffe said the campaign would also begin airing ads in Arizona, a state McCain has represented in Congress for 26 years. Plouffe said the race has tightened in Arizona, Georgia and North Dakota. A recent poll from McCain's home state showed the two candidates in a statistical dead heat.

These example right here show how much this election has gotten horribly away from John McCain. He has no business losing any SOP usual areas of victory like either of the Dakotas or Georgia. Bush won both North Dakota and GA handily in 2000 and 2004, and it shows how much the Republican brand is damaged.

And it would be humiliating, absolutely humiliating, if he can't carry his own home state. Can you imagine him, in his concession speech on Tuesday evening (because if he losses Arizona, then he will definitely lose this election by a stunningly big margin), having to talk about this. Losing in his own home state?

The abasement would be epic.

Al Gore lost his home state, but that was to be expected no matter how hard he tried. Tennessee is steadfastly conservative as a whole, and even Peyton Manning, if he ran for President as a Democrat at this time, wouldn't be able to sway the state altogether to turning blue.

But a defeat by McCain at the hands of Obama will CLEARLY be the paradigm for those to remember this election, and how it was truly, never close.

And even if McCain does win his own state, the fact that it is so close so late in Arizona, still maybe a symbol of what the previous sentence just said.

Busy weekend of course, so the Agenda's P.S. will be in the comments section as always. As I stated before, Happy Halloween and be safe.

Trick or treat.